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Investor Tool

Portfolio Drawdown Simulator

Convert market fear into math. Visualize the path to recovery and the impact of staying the course.

UPGRADE
Decision Inputs

"Time in the market beats timing the market."

Advanced Tool Locked

The Portfolio Drawdown Simulator is part of our Pro decision-support suite. Sign in or upgrade to unlock full access.

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Analysis Result

Simulation Ready

Market volatility is inevitable. Math is your anchor. Enter your data and click "Simulate Recovery" to see the timeline.

Risks & Limitations

  • Market returns are not linear. This tool uses a constant average return assumption which does not reflect actual sequence of returns risk.
  • Inflation is not factored into this nominal recovery simulation.
  • Panic selling or changing strategy mid-drawdown is not modeled here but is the #1 reason investors fail to recover.

Next Steps

Check your Risk ProfileLearn about Dollar Cost AveragingReview Historical Bear MarketsDocumentation: Drawdown Simulator

Key Definitions

Drawdown
The peak-to-trough decline during a specific period for an investment, trading account, or fund.
Time to Recovery
The amount of time it takes for an investment to return to its previous peak value after a drawdown.
Mathematical Asymmetry
The principle that percentage gains and losses are not equal. A 20% loss requires a 25% gain to recover.

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Data Sources
  • Standard Financial Mathematics
  • •Historical Market Volatility Data
Model Assumptions
  • Formula: n = ln((FV + PMT/r) / (PV + PMT/r)) / ln(1+r)
  • •Constant annual return during recovery
  • •Consistent monthly contributions
  • •No taxes or transaction fees
  • •Linear recovery path for visualization
Last UpdatedFebruary 2025